Short-Term Earthquake Forecast Based on Ozone Precursors for the Kamchatka Territory

O. E. Grafeev

Abstract


The author considers the possibility of a short-term earthquake forecast for the Kamchatka territory based on precursors associated with the concentration of ozone in the atmosphere. The hypothesis of such a precursor existence is based on the phenomenon of hydrogen Earth degassing and the hydrogen cycle of ozone destruction. The study considers the data obtained on the Kamchatka region for the period from 2010 to 2018. A statistical relationship was revealed between the ozone concentration and earthquakes of magnitude 5 and greater. The relationship with the relative positions of celestial bodies - the Sun, Earth and Moon - was studied. The possibility of using foreshocks to refine the forecast was considered. The results obtained make it possible to identify a set of precursors indicating the likelihood of an earthquake within 1 to 8 days.

References


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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.17072/psu.geol.24.2.92

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